Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution criteria
Calibrated 100% · raw 2495% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:01:23 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
75%
Signal Score
-24.9
Opportunity
19.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,116,961
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -2495.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
18 points
This market refers to the tennis match between J.J. Wolf and Jay Dylan Friend in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a high probability (75%) that the total number of games in the Wolf vs. Friend tennis match will exceed 22.5, favoring an 'Over' outcome. The resolution hinges on official Challenger statistics, with tiebreaks counting as a single game.
Wolf is known for aggressive baseline play and high first-serve win rates, which often lead to long rallies and extended matches. Friend, while solid, has a higher double-fault rate, increasing the likelihood of prolonged games. Historical data shows most Challenger matches at this level exceed 22 games.
Both players are relatively young with moderate serve dominance, reducing the chance of extended rallies. Weather conditions or court surface (likely hard court) could favor quick serves and shorter points. Recent injuries or fatigue may also shorten match duration.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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