Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution deadline
Calibrated 100% · raw 4775% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:45:30 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
-47.8
Opportunity
31.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,116,966
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4775.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
4 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Stan Wawrinka and Matteo Berrettini in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 4 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 4 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 4 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 4 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the total games in Set 4 of the Wawrinka vs. Berrettini Wimbledon match (O/U 8.5) is marginally favoring the 'Over' outcome at 50.50%. The match's outcome is highly uncertain due to the players' contrasting styles and historical performance.
Berrettini's powerful serve and baseline game could lead to longer rallies, increasing the total games in Set 4. Wawrinka's aggressive style may also contribute to extended points, pushing the total over 8.5. The probability of a tiebreak (counted as 1 game) further supports the 'Over' outcome.
A quick and dominant set from either player (e.g., 6-2 or 6-3) could result in fewer than 9 total games. Berrettini's injury history or Wawrinka's occasional struggles with consistency might lead to early set conclusion. A straight-sets match could prevent Set 4 from being played entirely.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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