Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 4925% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 9:00:50 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
-49.3
Opportunity
32.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4925.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
2
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Stan Wawrinka and Matteo Berrettini in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 4 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 4 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 4 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 4 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Wawrinka vs. Berrettini Set 4 Games Over/Under 10.5 is marginally leaning toward the 'Over' outcome at 50.50%, indicating near-neutral expectations for high-scoring gameplay in the fourth set. The resolution hinges on the total games played in set 4, with tiebreaks counting as one game.
The 'Over' outcome is supported by the potential for aggressive baseline play from both Wawrinka and Berrettini, known for long rallies and high-energy exchanges. Berrettini’s powerful serve and Wawrinka’s two-handed backhand could lead to extended games, especially if the set goes to a tiebreak. Historical data from their past meetings suggests they favor high-intensity play.
The 'Under' outcome is plausible if the match concludes in fewer than four sets due to one player dominating early, reducing the likelihood of a high-scoring fourth set. Additionally, if either player struggles with consistency or suffers an injury, the total games in set 4 could remain low. Weather disruptions or tactical adjustments to shorten points may also suppress the total.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
