Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: premature_match_termination
Calibrated 100% · raw 4900% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:30:27 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
99%
Signal Score
+49.0
Opportunity
48.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4900.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
7
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Stan Wawrinka and Matteo Berrettini in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 3 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 3 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 3 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 3 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Wawrinka vs. Berrettini: Set 3 Games O/U 8.5' shows an overwhelmingly high probability (99.45%) favoring the 'Over' outcome. This suggests near-certainty that Set 3 will feature at least 9 games.
Both players are known for their aggressive baseline play and long rallies, which typically result in high game counts. Berrettini's powerful serve and Wawrinka's two-handed backhand exchanges often extend points, increasing the likelihood of exceeding 8.5 games in Set 3.
The match could end in straight sets (2-0) before Set 3 is reached, or Set 3 could be a short, one-sided affair (e.g., 6-1 or 6-2), resulting in fewer than 9 games. External factors like weather delays or retirements could also disrupt the set.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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