Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 4460% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 12:45:47 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
45%
Signal Score
+44.6
Opportunity
29.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,747,618
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4460.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Yosuke Watanuki and Andre Ilagan in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Watanuki vs. Ilagan Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 shows extremely low liquidity at 0.40%, indicating minimal trader interest. The market is highly sensitive to match completion and set duration.
Watanuki and Ilagan engage in an extended rally with frequent breaks or long rallies, pushing the set 2 game total to 9 or more. High server dominance or baseline exchanges could prolong rallies, favoring an 'Over' outcome.
The match concludes quickly via a dominant performance (e.g., bagel set or rapid tiebreak), or set 2 is not completed due to external factors (injury, weather), defaulting to a 50-50 resolution. Short, high-efficiency games favor 'Under.'
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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