Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation
Calibrated 100% · raw 4895% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 1:00:28 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
-49.0
Opportunity
36.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4895.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Yosuke Watanuki and Andre Ilagan in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The tennis match between Yosuke Watanuki and Andre Ilagan has a nearly even probability (50.95%) of total games exceeding 21.5. The outcome hinges on match dynamics, player styles, and potential tiebreak scenarios.
Watanuki and Ilagan are both aggressive baseline players with high first-serve percentages, increasing the likelihood of extended rallies and tiebreaks. A match featuring multiple five-set encounters or frequent tiebreaks would push the total games over 22.
If either player dominates with quick service holds or the match concludes in straight sets (e.g., 6-2, 6-3), the total games may fall short of 22. Weather disruptions or early retirements could also reduce the game count.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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