Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 495% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 12:15:51 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
5%
Signal Score
+5.0
Opportunity
4.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,747,253
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 495.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Yosuke Watanuki and Andre Ilagan in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Watanuki vs. Ilagan Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 shows an extremely low probability (0.05%) of the total games exceeding 9.5 in the first set. This suggests strong market confidence in a low-scoring first set.
A bullish outcome (Over 9.5 games) could occur if both players engage in aggressive baseline rallies or frequent net play, leading to extended rallies and higher game counts. Unforced errors or inconsistent serving could also prolong games.
A bearish outcome (Under 9.5 games) is likely if either player dominates with powerful serves and quick points, or if the match features frequent breaks of serve. A swift first set with minimal extended rallies would favor the Under outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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