Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match cancellation before play begins
Calibrated 100% · raw 4855% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 9:45:36 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
51%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
+48.5
Opportunity
48.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,686,804
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4855.0¢
Entry: 48-54
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Angel Veliz and Daniel Nunez in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Veliz vs. Nunez Over/Under 22.5 games is highly skewed toward the 'Over' outcome with a 99.50% probability, indicating near-certainty of a high-scoring match. The market assumes the match will proceed as scheduled or be completed within the allowed delay period.
A high-scoring match is likely due to the playing styles of Veliz and Nunez, who are known for aggressive baseline play with frequent long rallies. Quito's high altitude may also contribute to faster-paced rallies and more games per set. Historical data from similar Challenger events suggests an average game total exceeding 22.5.
The match could resolve as 'Under' if both players struggle with unforced errors or if conditions favor a defensive, low-scoring style. Weather disruptions (e.g., rain delays) or early retirements due to injury could also reduce the total games played below 23.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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