Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:17:22 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,146
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Marko Topo and Leo Raquillet in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Topo vs. Raquillet: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5' is currently at a 50% probability, indicating a balanced expectation between Over and Under outcomes. The resolution hinges on the total games played in the second set, with a 50-50 split if the set is incomplete or the match is canceled/delayed.
A bullish outcome (Over 9.5 games) could occur if both players engage in an aggressive baseline rally or frequent net play, leading to longer rallies and more games. High heat or altitude conditions in Troyes may also favor extended sets due to fatigue.
A bearish outcome (Under 9.5 games) is plausible if one player dominates early, winning the set quickly with minimal games (e.g., 6-0 or 6-1). Weather disruptions, such as rain delays, could also truncate the set before reaching 10 games.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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