Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected player injuries or fatigue late in the match
Calibrated 100% · raw 475% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:15:20 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
5%
Signal Score
+4.8
Opportunity
4.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,117,511
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 475.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Terence Atmane in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 3 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 3 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 3 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 3 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Tiafoe vs. Atmane Set 3 Games Over/Under 10.5 is highly skewed toward the 'Under' outcome, with a current probability of 99.95%. The likelihood of the match reaching or exceeding 11 games in the third set is extremely low.
A bullish outcome (Over 10.5) would require an unusually high-scoring third set, such as a prolonged tiebreak or multiple extended games, suggesting aggressive playstyles or poor serving from both players. Historical Wimbledon data shows only ~10% of third sets exceed 10 games, making this scenario unlikely.
The bearish outcome (Under 10.5) aligns with typical Wimbledon match dynamics, where third sets often conclude quickly due to high-stakes pressure or dominant serving. The market reflects the strong probability of a swift resolution, with most matches ending in straight sets or short third sets.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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