Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:45:44 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
3
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Terence Atmane in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Tiafoe vs. Atmane: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5' is highly bearish with a 0.05% probability, indicating extreme skepticism toward the total games in set 2 exceeding 10. The resolution hinges on a single set's game count, making it a low-probability outcome.
A bullish outcome would require an aggressive, high-scoring set 2 with frequent break opportunities or extended rallies, such as a 7-6 or 6-4 scoreline. This could occur if both players are in top form, playing aggressively, or if weather conditions favor longer rallies.
The bear case is overwhelmingly likely, as most professional tennis sets conclude with fewer than 11 games (e.g., 6-3, 6-2, or 6-4). Even in competitive matches, set 2 rarely exceeds 10 games unless it goes to a tiebreak or is unusually prolonged.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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