Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution criteria
AI updated 6/26/2026, 5:30:19 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Santiago Rodriguez Taverna and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Piracicaba, originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Santiago Rodriguez Taverna' if Santiago Rodriguez Taverna advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Santiago Rodriguez Taverna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a highly unlikely outcome for Santiago Rodriguez Taverna to defeat Juan Manuel La Serna in their scheduled tennis match, with a current probability of 0.05%. The extreme odds suggest strong market confidence in La Serna's dominance or Taverna's minimal chances of victory.
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna could win if he outperforms expectations due to La Serna's fatigue, injury, or unexpected form slump. External factors like favorable weather conditions or La Serna's off-day performance could also swing the odds.
Juan Manuel La Serna is overwhelmingly favored to win, given his likely higher ranking, stronger recent form, or Taverna's historical underperformance. Market sentiment reflects minimal belief in Taverna's chances, with La Serna's consistency or home-court advantage (if applicable) further reducing Taverna's odds.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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