Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_weather_conditions
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:31:14 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
5
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Dhakshineswar Suresh and Liam Draxl in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Suresh vs. Draxl: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5' is evenly split at 50%, indicating no clear consensus on whether the total games in set 2 will exceed 9.5. The outcome hinges on match dynamics and potential early termination.
Suresh and Draxl are both aggressive baseliners with high first-serve percentages, increasing the likelihood of extended rallies and games. A fast-paced match with frequent breaks of serve could push the total games in set 2 over 9.5, favoring the 'Over' outcome.
If either player dominates with powerful serves or holds service games easily, set 2 could conclude quickly with fewer than 10 games, favoring the 'Under' outcome. Additionally, rain delays or early match conclusion (e.g., walkover) would force a 50-50 resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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