Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_match_interruption
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:31:20 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,686,084
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Dhakshineswar Suresh and Liam Draxl in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Suresh vs. Draxl Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5 is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting equal probability assigned to both outcomes. The neutral starting point suggests no clear favorite in terms of total games played in the second set.
A bullish outcome (Over 10.5 games) could arise if both players engage in a high-intensity match with extended rallies, frequent breaks of serve, or a prolonged tiebreak, increasing total games beyond 11. Aggressive baseline play or a slow-closing set could also drive the total higher.
A bearish outcome (Under 10.5 games) may occur if the set is decided quickly, such as via a dominant server holding their games with minimal resistance or an early retirement due to injury or fatigue. A short tiebreak or a lopsided set could similarly cap the total games.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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