This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Sebastian Baez in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 4 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 4 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 4 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 4 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Key risk: Incomplete set 4 due to match ending early
AI updated 6/27/2026, 5:19:30 AM
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Sebastian Baez in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 4 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 4 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 4 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 4 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for 'Struff vs. Baez: Set 4 Games O/U 10.5' is perfectly balanced at 50%, indicating no clear consensus on whether the total games in set 4 will meet or exceed 11. The resolution hinges on live match dynamics, which are highly unpredictable at this stage.
A bullish outcome (Over 10.5) is plausible if both players engage in prolonged rallies, frequent breaks, or an extended tiebreak in set 4. Struff's aggressive serve-and-volley style or Baez's baseline endurance could prolong games, favoring the Over outcome.
A bearish outcome (Under 10.5) is supported if the match concludes swiftly in set 4 due to one player dominating (e.g., a straight-sets win) or quick service holds with minimal breaks. Early retirement or injury could also truncate set 4, pushing the resolution to 50-50.
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Struff vs. Baez: Set 4 Games O/U 10.5 is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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