Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_weather_delays
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:18:01 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,058
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Henri Squire and Gilles Arnaud Bailly in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Squire vs. Bailly tennis match O/U 21.5 games market is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting equal likelihood of the total games meeting or exceeding 22. The resolution hinges on match dynamics, player styles, and potential tiebreak scenarios.
Henri Squire and Gilles Arnaud Bailly may engage in an aggressive baseline rally or extended rallies, increasing total games beyond 22. High break-point conversion rates, frequent tiebreaks, or a match extending to three sets could push the total toward or above the threshold.
A dominant server or quick straight-sets victory by either player could suppress the total games to 21 or fewer. Short, efficient matches with minimal breaks or tiebreaks would favor the 'Under' outcome, particularly if one player holds serve consistently.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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