Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:18:51 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,058
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Frederico Ferreira Silva and Edas Butvilas in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Silva vs. Butvilas Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 is evenly split, indicating no clear consensus on whether the total games in set 2 will reach or exceed 9. The 50% probability reflects high uncertainty due to match scheduling and potential resolution contingencies.
A bullish outcome (Over 8.5) is supported by the potential for high-intensity play or a prolonged set, especially if both players are evenly matched. If the match progresses to a tiebreak, it counts as one game, slightly favoring the Over outcome. Historical data for both players suggests occasional long sets.
A bearish outcome (Under 8.5) is plausible if one player dominates early, leading to a swift conclusion of set 2 with fewer games. External factors like weather delays or player fatigue could also truncate the set. The 50-50 resolution clause further dampens confidence in a definitive outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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