Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days (resolves 50-50)
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:46:53 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Da Silva and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Silva vs. Alves tennis match (Quito, June 30, 2026) indicates an extremely low probability (0.05%) that the total games will exceed 23.5, suggesting strong consensus on a low-scoring match.
A high-scoring match (Over 23.5 games) could occur if both players engage in aggressive baseline rallies or frequent tiebreaks, especially in a best-of-three format where long sets are more likely. Surface conditions (e.g., slow clay courts in Quito) may also prolong rallies.
A low-scoring match (Under 23.5 games) is likely if both players rely on powerful serves or efficient groundstrokes, leading to quick service holds and minimal break opportunities. Weather conditions (e.g., high altitude affecting ball bounce) could further reduce rally lengths.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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