Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_weather_delays
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:46:43 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
+0.9
Opportunity
0.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 95.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Da Silva and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Silva vs. Alves tennis match Over/Under 22.5 games shows an extremely low probability (0.05%) of the total games exceeding 23, indicating a strong consensus favoring fewer than 23 games.
A bullish outcome would require aggressive baseline play, frequent winners, or extended tiebreaks, pushing the game total to 23+. This could occur if both players prioritize power over consistency, leading to shorter points and more breaks.
A bearish outcome (Under) is likely if the match features defensive play, long rallies, or multiple extended sets, reducing the likelihood of exceeding 22.5 games. Surface conditions (e.g., clay) may also slow play, favoring longer matches.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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