Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:15:30 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
+0.9
Opportunity
0.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,115,726
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 95.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Da Silva and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Silva vs. Alves: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5' indicates an extremely low probability (0.05%) of the first set totaling 9 or more games, reflecting strong market confidence in a low-scoring encounter.
A bullish outcome would require both players to engage in aggressive baseline rallies or frequent net approaches, leading to extended rallies and higher game counts. This could occur if both players have high first-serve percentages or if the court surface (likely clay in Quito) slows down play less than expected.
A bearish outcome (Under 8.5 games) suggests a tight, service-dominated first set with minimal break opportunities, possibly due to strong serving performances or quick dominance by one player. The market may also account for potential weather delays or tactical conservatism in the early stages.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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