Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution criteria
Calibrated 100% · raw 9495% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:15:47 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
95%
Signal Score
+95.0
Opportunity
93.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,116,166
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 9495.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Da Silva and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Silva vs. Alves: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5' shows an extremely low probability (0.05%) of the first set exceeding 10.5 games, indicating near-certainty of a low-scoring first set.
A bullish outcome (Over 10.5) could occur if both players engage in aggressive baseline rallies or frequent net play, leading to a high-scoring first set with extended exchanges or a tiebreak. Surface type (e.g., clay) and player styles may favor higher game totals.
A bearish outcome (Under 10.5) is likely if either player dominates with powerful serves or if the match features short, efficient points with minimal rallies. Clay courts often produce slower play, reducing game totals.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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