Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Incomplete first set due to external disruptions (e.g., weather, injury)
AI updated 6/27/2026, 5:17:26 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
3
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Jaime Faria in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Shimabukuro vs. Faria: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5' is currently evenly split, indicating no strong market bias toward either outcome. The neutral probability reflects uncertainty due to the lack of recent match data or form analysis.
A bullish outcome (Over 8.5 games) could result from high-energy baseline rallies or aggressive serving games, leading to extended sets. Shimabukuro's recent clay-court performance or Faria's known endurance might increase the likelihood of a longer first set.
A bearish outcome (Under 8.5 games) could occur if one player dominates with quick holds and breaks, resulting in a shorter set. Potential factors include a strong serve-and-volley style or early tiebreak dominance, reducing total games.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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