Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_retirement
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:46:17 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,743
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Andres Santamarta and Federico Cina in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Santamarta vs. Cina tennis match O/U 22.5 games market is currently at a 50% probability, indicating a balanced outlook with no clear consensus on whether the total games will exceed 23. The resolution hinges on match dynamics, player styles, and potential disruptions.
A bullish outcome (Over 22.5) could materialize if both players engage in high-intensity rallies, frequent tiebreaks, or extended set battles, especially if the match extends to three or more sets. Santamarta’s aggressive baseline play or Cina’s serve-and-volley style may contribute to a higher game count.
A bearish outcome (Under 22.5) may occur if the match is decided in straight sets with minimal rallies, particularly if one player dominates with powerful serves or quick winners. Weather delays or early retirements could also skew the total toward the lower end.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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