Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: low_market_liquidity
Calibrated 100% · raw 9495% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 9:31:01 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
95%
Signal Score
+95.0
Opportunity
0.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,116,966
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 9495.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Sakamoto and Alan Magadan in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Sakamoto vs. Magadan: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5' is extremely low-probability (0.05%) with minimal liquidity, indicating negligible trader interest or confidence in either outcome. The resolution criteria heavily favor default scenarios (50-50) due to the match's scheduling uncertainty and potential for early termination.
Sakamoto and Magadan engage in a high-intensity match with aggressive baseline play, leading to frequent breaks and extended rallies. The set 2 reaches 10+ games due to prolonged deuce sequences or tiebreaks, resolving as 'Over.' External factors like weather delays or scheduling adjustments do not disrupt play.
The match ends prematurely in set 1 or early set 2 due to Sakamoto's dominance, Magadan's withdrawal, or external disruptions (e.g., weather, injury). The set 2 remains incomplete, triggering a 50-50 resolution regardless of the original market probability.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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