Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
Calibrated 100% · raw 9495% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 9:31:07 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
95%
Signal Score
+95.0
Opportunity
93.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,117,436
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 9495.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Sakamoto and Alan Magadan in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Sakamoto vs. Magadan Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5 is highly skewed toward the 'Under' outcome, with a market probability of 0.05%. The low probability suggests strong market confidence in fewer than 11 games being played in set 2.
A bullish outcome (Over 10.5) could occur if both players engage in a high-intensity rally with extended rallies and frequent tiebreaks, leading to a high total game count. Unforced errors or inconsistent serving could also prolong the set, pushing the total over the threshold.
A bearish outcome (Under 10.5) is likely if the match features dominant serving performances, quick breaks of serve, or a lopsided scoreline where one player rapidly closes out the set. Short, efficient games with minimal rallies would also favor the 'Under' outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.