Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution threshold
Calibrated 100% · raw 5195% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:45:41 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+52.0
Opportunity
33.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 5195.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Sakamoto and Alan Magadan in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Sakamoto vs. Magadan Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 is currently at 0.50%, indicating near-neutral expectations for a high-scoring first set. The low probability suggests minimal market interest or uncertainty due to limited public data on the players' form or match conditions.
A bullish outcome (Over 8.5 games) could occur if both players engage in aggressive baseline rallies or frequent net play, leading to extended rallies and higher game counts. Sakamoto's known offensive style or Magadan's vulnerability to break points might also contribute to a faster-paced set.
A bearish outcome (Under 8.5 games) is plausible if either player dominates with powerful serves, limiting rallies to short points and fewer games. Weather conditions (e.g., high altitude in Quito affecting stamina) or tactical defensive play could also suppress the game total.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
