Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay_beyond_resolution_window
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:15:56 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
+0.9
Opportunity
0.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 95.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
7
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Felipe Jose Rivadeneira and Luis Carlos Alvarez in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the tennis match Rivadeneira vs. Alvarez (Match O/U 22.5) shows an extremely low probability (0.05%) of the total games exceeding 22.5, indicating near-certainty of a low-scoring match. The outcome hinges on the players' styles, court conditions, and potential external disruptions.
A high-scoring match (Over 22.5 games) could occur if both players engage in aggressive baseline rallies, frequent unforced errors, or if the match extends to five sets with prolonged tiebreaks. Surface conditions (clay in Quito) may also favor longer rallies.
A low-scoring match (Under 22.5 games) is likely if either player dominates with powerful serves and quick points, or if the match concludes in straight sets with minimal extended play. Weather disruptions or early retirement could also skew the total downward.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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