Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected performance surge by Rinderknech
AI updated 7/2/2026, 9:32:45 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
20%
ORYN Consensus
20%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
Tennis Grand Slam Men's Singles Outcome
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,069,667
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 50.0¢
Entry: 16-22
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
24 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 5. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Arthur Rinderknech vs. Novak Djokovic total sets O/U 4.5 is heavily skewed toward the 'Under' outcome, with only a 20% probability assigned to the 'Over' scenario. Djokovic's dominance and Rinderknech's lower ranking make a high-set match unlikely.
A high-set match could occur if Djokovic faces unexpected resistance, Rinderknech plays an unusually strong match, or external factors (e.g., weather delays) extend the match duration. Djokovic's occasional five-set matches in early rounds support this scenario.
Djokovic, a 24-time Grand Slam champion, is overwhelmingly favored to win in straight sets or a maximum of four sets. Rinderknech's career record against top-10 opponents (0-8) suggests minimal challenge, reducing the likelihood of a high-set match.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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