Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unforeseen_match_cancellation
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:30:39 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Martin Damm in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Rinderknech vs. Damm set 2 games O/U 8.5 is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome due to the binary nature of the resolution criteria and potential match dynamics.
A high-scoring second set with aggressive baseline play or frequent tiebreaks could push the total games to 9 or more, favoring the 'Over' outcome. Serving dominance by either player may also lead to extended games if breaks occur.
A low-scoring second set with few breaks or quick holds could result in 8 or fewer games, resolving to 'Under.' Early retirement, injury, or a swift conclusion to the match would also favor 'Under' or a 50-50 resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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