Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation
AI updated 6/27/2026, 1:46:10 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
99%
ORYN Consensus
99%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 96-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Ethan Quinn and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Mallorca Championships, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market heavily favors the 'Over' outcome (99.45%) in the first set games total of Ethan Quinn vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, indicating strong market confidence in a high-scoring set. The near-certainty reflects expectations of an aggressive, high-pace matchup between two hard-hitting players.
Quinn (a power baseliner) and Fokina (known for his heavy topspin) are both capable of dictating rallies, increasing the likelihood of long games and breaks. Their playing styles suggest a match with extended rallies, favoring an 'Over' outcome. Historical data for both players in high-velocity matches supports this trend.
A tactical match with frequent serve dominance or a quick, efficient first set (e.g., 6-1 or 6-2) could skew the total games below 9. Weather conditions (e.g., extreme heat slowing play) or an early injury could also reduce the set duration.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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