Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days (50-50 resolution)
Calibrated 100% · raw 250% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/3/2026, 2:19:16 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
68%
ORYN Consensus
65%
Signal Score
-2.5
Opportunity
1.5
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,505,203
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -250.0¢
Entry: 64-70
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
10 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrej Nedic and Keegan Smith in the Brasov, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Nedic” if Andrej Nedic wins the first set. It will resolve to “Smith” if Keegan Smith wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Market for first set winner between Andrej Nedic and Keegan Smith in Brasov Challenger on July 3, 2026. Nedic is heavily favored at 67%, suggesting significant perceived edge in either form or surface suitability.
Nedic's higher implied probability reflects stronger recent form or favorable surface match-up. If he is the higher-ranked player or has demonstrated consistent first-set performance, the 67% line may be justified.
Smith could be undervalued if he has strong comeback history or if Nedic's odds are inflated by name recognition. A 33% implied chance for Smith represents real value if he starts serving well or if conditions neutralize Nedic's advantage.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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