Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: incomplete_set_resolution
Calibrated 100% · raw 4995% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 6:01:10 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
-50.0
Opportunity
37.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4995.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
4 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Flavio Cobolli in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 3 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 3 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 3 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 3 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Navone vs. Cobolli Set 3 Games Over/Under 8.5 is currently at 50.00%, indicating neutral expectations for the outcome. The match's resolution rules introduce significant uncertainty, particularly regarding incomplete sets or cancellations.
A bullish outcome (Over 8.5 games) would likely result from a high-scoring set 3, such as a 6-4 or 7-5 scoreline, where aggressive baseline play or frequent tiebreaks extend the game count. Navone's recent form or Cobolli's vulnerability to long rallies could also favor this scenario.
A bearish outcome (Under 8.5 games) would occur in a low-scoring set 3, such as a 6-3 or 6-2, where one player dominates with powerful serves or quick winners. Early breaks or a lopsided scoreline would reduce the total games played.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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