Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match could end in three or five sets before set 4
Calibrated 100% · raw 1800% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 9:00:30 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 25% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
94%
ORYN Consensus
76%
Signal Score
-18.0
Opportunity
13.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -1800.0¢
Entry: 91-97
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
19 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Jan-Lennard Struff in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 12:45PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 4 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 4 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 4 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 4 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Nakashima vs. Struff set 4 games over/under 9.5 favors the 'Over' outcome with a 76% probability. The match is scheduled for Wimbledon ATP on July 1, 2026, with resolution dependent on official Grand Slam results.
Nakashima and Struff are both known for high-energy, baseline-heavy styles that often produce longer rallies and extended sets. Historical data from their prior matches suggests a tendency for prolonged exchanges, supporting the 'Over' outcome.
Either player could dominate with aggressive serving or power baseline play, leading to fewer games in set 4. If set 4 is not completed due to match ending earlier, the market resolves 50-50, reducing the 'Over' probability.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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