Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
AI updated 7/2/2026, 9:00:36 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
76%
ORYN Consensus
76%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 50.0¢
Entry: 72-78
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
2
Price history
14 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Jan-Lennard Struff in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 12:45PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 4 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 4 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 4 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 4 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors the 'Over' outcome (11+ games in set 4) with 76% probability, indicating confidence in a high-scoring fourth set between Nakashima and Struff. The resolution hinges on the match progressing to set 4 and the total games meeting or exceeding the threshold.
Nakashima and Struff are known for aggressive baseline play and extended rallies, increasing the likelihood of a high-game set 4. Struff’s powerful serve and Nakashima’s counterpunching style could lead to prolonged exchanges, favoring the 'Over' outcome.
If either player dominates with quick holds or the match concludes in fewer sets, the total games in set 4 may fall short of 11. Fatigue or tactical adjustments reducing rally lengths could also push the outcome toward 'Under.'
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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