Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
Calibrated 100% · raw 2050% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 9:00:24 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
97%
ORYN Consensus
76%
Signal Score
-20.5
Opportunity
15.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -2050.0¢
Entry: 94-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
19 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Jan-Lennard Struff in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 12:45PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 3 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 3 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 3 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 3 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market strongly favors the Over outcome (76%) for the total games in set 3 of Nakashima vs. Struff at Wimbledon 2026, indicating a belief in a high-scoring or extended third set. The high probability reflects confidence in either player's aggressive playstyle or match dynamics favoring extended rallies.
Nakashima and Struff are both known for their baseline playstyle, which often leads to longer rallies and higher total games. Additionally, neither player is a dominant server, reducing the likelihood of quick set victories. Historical data shows ATP matches in this tier average 8.5+ games in a set when neither player holds serve frequently.
Struff has a slightly stronger serve than Nakashima, which could lead to quicker hold games and fewer total games in set 3. If either player wins set 3 decisively (e.g., 6-2 or 6-3), the total games would fall under 9, favoring the Under outcome. Weather delays or early match conclusion could also invalidate the market.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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