Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match could end in fewer than 3 sets (e.g., 2-0 or 2-1)
Calibrated 100% · raw 2100% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 8:45:40 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
97%
ORYN Consensus
76%
Signal Score
-21.0
Opportunity
15.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -2100.0¢
Entry: 94-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
20 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Jan-Lennard Struff in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 12:45PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 3 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 3 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 3 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 3 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market strongly favors the 'Over' outcome (75.5%) for the total games in set 3 of the Nakashima vs. Struff Wimbledon match exceeding 10.5. This suggests a high likelihood of an extended, high-scoring set 3.
Nakashima and Struff are both known for aggressive baseline play and extended rallies, increasing the probability of a high-game set 3. Historical data from their head-to-head or comparable opponents also supports a tendency toward lengthy sets.
Either player could dominate early, ending set 3 quickly with a straight-sets win. External factors like weather delays or injury could also prevent set 3 from being completed, triggering a 50-50 resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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