Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match could be canceled or delayed, triggering 50-50 resolution
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 10:46:06 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 31% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
63%
ORYN Consensus
65%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
correlates · strength 60%
Will Manifold.love reach 1000 daily active users (7d average) by Feb 14, 2024?
correlates · strength 60%
Quito: Ignacio Monzon vs Samuel Heredia
correlates · strength 60%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
correlates · strength 60%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,452,467
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 60-66
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
4 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Ignacio Monzon and Samuel Heredia in the Quito, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Monzon' if Ignacio Monzon advances against Samuel Heredia. This market will resolve to 'Samuel Heredia' if Samuel Heredia advances against Ignacio Monzon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Ignacio Monzon enters as the 65% favorite over Samuel Heredia in a Quito tennis match scheduled for July 3, 2026. Monzon's higher ranking and recent form justify the odds, while Heredia remains a live underdog on his preferred clay surface. Resolution conditions are clearly defined, reducing ambiguity for traders.
Monzon is the higher-ranked player with stronger tournament experience, making him the logical favorite. His game suits clay surfaces common in South America, giving him a stylistic edge over Heredia.
Heredia has home-court advantage playing in Quito and may be more acclimated to the altitude and conditions. If Monzon's form has dipped or Heredia has shown recent improvement, the 65% line could be overpriced.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
