Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:18:19 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,408
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
HIGH
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Alvaro Guillen Meza and Franco Roncadelli in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The match between Meza and Roncadelli is evenly poised with a 50.00% probability for the total games to exceed 22.5, indicating no clear market preference. The 50-50 resolution threshold reflects high uncertainty due to limited match-specific data or historical context.
The match could exceed 22.5 games if both players engage in high-intensity rallies, frequent tiebreaks, or extended sets, common in lower-tier Challenger events. A slow court surface or humid conditions may also prolong points, increasing total games.
The match may stay under 23 games if either player dominates with quick service holds or if the match concludes in straight sets with minimal breaks. Fast court surfaces or extreme weather could shorten points, reducing total games.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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