Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: insufficient_match_history
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:18:38 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
963,132
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
HIGH
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Harold Mayot and Andrej Nedic in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Mayot vs. Nedic Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5 is evenly split at 50%, indicating high uncertainty due to limited public data on both players' recent form. The resolution hinges on the first set's total games, with tiebreakers counting as one game each.
Mayot, the higher-ranked player (ATP #150), may dominate with aggressive baseline play, leading to a high-scoring first set exceeding 8.5 games. Nedic, ranked #280, could struggle to contain Mayot's power, resulting in frequent breaks and extended rallies.
Nedic's defensive style and strong return game could force Mayot into unforced errors, suppressing the total games below 8.5. Alternatively, a slow start or tactical adjustments by either player might limit set duration.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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