Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or postponement beyond 7 days
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:17:11 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
963,007
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Igor Ribeiro Marcondes and Thomas Faurel in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Marcondes vs. Faurel Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5 is evenly split at 50.00%, reflecting high uncertainty due to limited match data and external variables. The 50-50 resolution clause for unplayed or canceled matches further skews perceived risk.
Marcondes and Faurel are both aggressive servers with high win rates on fast surfaces, suggesting a potential for a high-scoring set 2 with frequent breaks. If either player dominates with powerful serves and minimal unforced errors, the game total could exceed 8.5.
Both players have moderate game totals in recent matches, and set 2 could feature tactical play or weather disruptions (e.g., rain delays) reducing play time. If the match ends early (e.g., retirement or injury), the market resolves 50-50, favoring the 'Under' outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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