Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_interruption_or_cancellation
Calibrated 100% · raw 495% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 12:46:06 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
5%
Signal Score
+5.0
Opportunity
4.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,747,618
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 495.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Kennedy and Kaichi Uchida in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Kennedy vs. Uchida tennis match Over/Under 23.5 games is heavily skewed toward the Under outcome, with a market probability of just 0.05%. The match is scheduled for June 29, 2026, and resolution depends on the total games played across all sets.
A bullish outcome (Over 23.5 games) could materialize if the match features aggressive baseline rallies, frequent tiebreaks, or an extended third set, common in high-stakes Challenger-level encounters. Kennedy's serve-and-volley style or Uchida's baseline tenacity could prolong rallies, increasing total games.
The bearish outcome (Under 23.5 games) is more likely due to the efficiency of modern tennis, where shorter, high-quality matches are prevalent at the Challenger level. Quick two-set victories or dominant serving performances could suppress the total game count below the threshold.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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