Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 4995% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 12:00:40 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+50.0
Opportunity
17.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4995.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
5
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Kennedy and Kaichi Uchida in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a 50% probability that the first set of the Kennedy vs. Uchida tennis match will have 11 or more games. The neutral starting point reflects equal uncertainty between over/under outcomes given limited historical data on both players' set dynamics.
Kennedy’s aggressive baseline play and Uchida’s tendency to engage in long rallies could push the first set beyond 10.5 games. If either player has a strong serve or frequent break opportunities, the set could exceed 11 games.
A dominant serve game from either player (e.g., Kennedy’s 65% first-serve points won in 2024) or a quick, efficient set (e.g., 6-3 or 6-4) would likely keep the total under 11 games. High-pressure tiebreaks or unexpected early breaks could also skew the outcome lower.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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