Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:31:04 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Maks Kasnikowski and Andres Santamarta in the Brasov, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market on Kasnikowski vs. Santamarta Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5 is currently balanced at 50%, reflecting equal probability of either outcome. The resolution hinges on the total games played in Set 2, with a tiebreak counting as one game.
Kasnikowski’s aggressive baseline play and Santamarta’s tendency to engage in long rallies could push the Set 2 game total over 10.5, especially if the match extends beyond a quick tiebreak. Historical data shows both players frequently reach double-digit games in sets.
A tight match with early breaks or a quick dominance by one player could result in fewer than 11 games in Set 2. If the match concludes in straight sets before Set 2, the market resolves at 50-50 due to incomplete play.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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