Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_disruption_or_cancellation
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:17:41 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,743
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Maks Kasnikowski and Andres Andrade in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Kasnikowski vs. Andrade match Over/Under 22.5 games is evenly split at 50%, indicating no clear consensus on the expected total games in this tennis match. The neutral probability reflects the absence of dominant market signals or significant external factors.
A bullish scenario favors an Over outcome, likely driven by high-paced gameplay, aggressive serving, or a match featuring multiple extended sets or tiebreaks. Players with strong offensive styles or high ace rates could push the total games above 22.5.
A bearish scenario favors an Under outcome, likely driven by defensive play, extended rallies reducing unforced errors, or a match featuring quick straight-sets victories. Players with strong baseline consistency or slow court surface conditions could cap the total games below 22.5.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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