Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 9990% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 3:00:21 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 25% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
+99.9
Opportunity
99.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,769,228
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 9990.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Giles Hussey and William Manning in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Hussey vs. Manning Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 is highly skewed toward the 'Under' outcome, with a 99.95% probability, indicating strong market confidence in a low-scoring first set. The extreme imbalance suggests minimal perceived risk of non-resolution or significant deviation from expectations.
A bullish outcome ('Over' 9.5 games) could materialize if both players engage in aggressive baseline rallies, frequent net play, or extended baseline exchanges, leading to a high-scoring first set. External factors like favorable playing conditions (e.g., slow court surface, high humidity) or psychological pressure from early dominance could also contribute to a higher game total.
A bearish outcome ('Under' 9.5 games) is likely if both players rely on strong serves, quick points, and efficient play, resulting in a low-scoring set. Dominant serving performances or tactical adjustments favoring short, decisive points could suppress the game total. Additionally, adverse conditions (e.g., fast court, wind) may reduce rally lengths and game counts.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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