Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:31:47 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,146
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Giles Hussey and William Manning in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Hussey vs. Manning: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 is evenly balanced at 50.00%, reflecting no clear consensus on whether the first set will exceed 10 games. The outcome is highly dependent on match dynamics, player styles, and potential tiebreak scenarios.
Hussey or Manning could employ aggressive baseline play, leading to extended rallies and a high-scoring first set exceeding 10.5 games. Fast court conditions or windy weather may further increase game counts by reducing service dominance.
A dominant server or defensive player may limit games to 10 or fewer, with quick breaks and hold games shortening the set. Clay court conditions (if applicable) or extreme heat could also suppress total games by favoring longer points.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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