Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 2750% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:17:54 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 25% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
23%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+27.5
Opportunity
17.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 2750.0¢
Entry: 20-26
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
4 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Gurri vs. Gueymard-Wayenburg first-set games Over/Under 10.5 market is evenly balanced at 50.00%, reflecting high uncertainty due to limited match data and external factors like potential delays or cancellations.
Gurri, a higher-ranked player with stronger baseline consistency, could dominate the set with aggressive play, pushing total games over 10.5. A fast-paced match with minimal breaks between points may also favor the Over outcome.
Gueymard-Wayenburg’s defensive skills and endurance may prolong rallies, reducing the pace of play and keeping the set total under 10.5. A slow-starting match or early rain delay could further suppress the game count.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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