Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_match_cancellation
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:31:35 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,058
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Sebastian Gomez and Ignacio Monzon in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Gomez vs. Monzon Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5 is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting uncertainty about the match dynamics. The outcome hinges on the players' serving efficiency and baseline rally length in the first set.
A bullish outcome (Over 10.5) is plausible if both players engage in extended baseline rallies, typical of clay court matches in Quito, or if the set includes a tiebreak. Gomez's aggressive style and Monzon's endurance could prolong game counts.
A bearish outcome (Under 10.5) is possible if either player dominates with fast serves and quick points, reducing total games. Strong serving games or early retirement due to injury could skew the result toward fewer games.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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