Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unforeseen_match_cancellation
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:31:53 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,146
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Glinka and Aidan Mayo in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Glinka vs. Mayo Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5 is currently at a neutral 50% probability, indicating no clear consensus on the total games in the first set. The resolution hinges on whether the set exceeds 10 games, with tiebreaks counting as one game.
A high-scoring first set with aggressive baseline rallies or frequent tiebreaks could push the total games over 10.5. Mayo’s serve dominance or Glinka’s aggressive return game may contribute to extended games. External factors like weather delays or tactical adjustments could also increase game count.
A quick first set with dominant serves or short points could keep the total games under 10.5. Mayo’s strong net play or Glinka’s unforced errors may lead to rapid set completion. Poor weather conditions or early retirements could also reduce the game total.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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