Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_injury_or_withdrawal
AI updated 7/2/2026, 9:32:13 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| fincept | 1 | — | Global only |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 31% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
26%
ORYN Consensus
27%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,453,749
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 23-29
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
23 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Marton Fucsovics in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 5. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Marton Fucsovics at Wimbledon 2026 favors the 'Under' outcome (total sets ≤4) with a 73% implied probability, suggesting a likely shorter match. The 27% 'Over' probability indicates some expectation of an extended or high-intensity contest.
A high-intensity match with both players pushing for extended rallies, potential tiebreaks, or Fucsovics' serve-heavy style prolonging play could drive the total sets to 5+. Fucsovics' experience in tight contests and Fokina's baseline aggression may contribute to a longer match.
A quick, dominant performance by either player (e.g., Fokina's aggressive baseline play or Fucsovics' efficient serving) could lead to a straight-sets victory, resolving the market 'Under' 4.5 sets. Surface conditions favoring fast play may also reduce match duration.
Trade links and live readiness
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